Understanding the Probability of Genetic Inheritance: Princess Eugenie and Prince Albert's Case

What is the chance that Princess Eugenie and Prince Albert's first child will be a normal girl?

How is the probability of having a normal girl calculated based on Princess Eugenie being a carrier for hemophilia and Prince Albert being a hemophiliac?

Probability Calculation:

The chance that Princess Eugenie and Prince Albert's first child will be a normal girl is 50%.

Princess Eugenie, who is a carrier for hemophilia, married her cousin Prince Albert, who is a hemophiliac. In this genetic scenario, the probability of their first child being a normal girl is determined by the inheritance of sex chromosomes and the hemophilia gene.

As hemophilia is an X-linked recessive disorder, Princess Eugenie has one affected X chromosome (Xh) and one normal X chromosome (X). Prince Albert, being a hemophiliac, has an affected X chromosome (Xh) and a Y chromosome (Y). The possible genotypes for their offspring are:

  • XX (Carrier girl)
  • XY (Normal boy)
  • XhXh (Hemophiliac girl)
  • XhY (Hemophiliac boy)

Out of these combinations, only the first one (XX) indicates a carrier girl, who is considered normal since carriers usually do not exhibit symptoms. Therefore, the chance that Princess Eugenie and Prince Albert's first child will be a normal girl is 50%.

To dive deeper into the genetic probability involved in this scenario, it is critical to understand the inheritance patterns of X-linked recessive disorders and how they impact the likelihood of different outcomes in offspring. By analyzing the genotypes of potential children, we can calculate the probability of having a normal girl in this specific case.

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